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East Coast Offense: So Far So Good!

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

So Far So Good!

I often cite the example offered by philosopher *Bertrand Russell to demonstrate the weakness of inductive reasoning:

It's like a man who jumps off the Empire State Building and counts the windows as he falls. When he gets to 80, he says, "So far, so good!"

It's a great way to illustrate that because something has happened many consecutive times in the past (falling past a window without any negative consequences), does not mean it will continue to happen in the future. While it's self-evident in Russell's example, it's easy to make this mistake when trying to handicap NFL games or deciding who to start for your fantasy team.

A good example was this week's Chiefs-Giants game. Andy Reid was 16-2 coming off the bye week
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