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Park Factors & Lines
Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.
AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.
| Lefties | Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Road Starter | Home Starter | Home Tm | R | AVG | HR | AVG | HR | K | O/U | HmL | 1st Pitch |
| James Paxton | Luis Severino | Yankees | 103 | 95 | 142 | 99 | 123 | 92 | 7.5 | -210 | 1:05 PM |
| Rick Porcello | Kyle Gibson | Twins | 105 | 103 | 95 | 105 | 113 | 93 | 8.5 | 110 | 1:10 PM |
| Steven Matz | Kyle Freeland | Rockies | 138 | 121 | 117 | 116 | 118 | 87 | 11.0 | -150 | 3:10 PM |
| Kevin Gausman | Max Scherzer | Nationals | 100 | 98 | 89 | 105 | 114 | 98 | 7.0 | -315 | 7:05 PM |
| Zack Godley | Chad Kuhl | Pirates | 96 | 97 | 101 | 103 | 83 | 94 | 8.0 | -110 | 7:05 PM |
| Kyle Hendricks | Matt Harvey | Reds | 104 | 100 | 119 | 98 | 108 | 106 | 9.5 | 140 | 7:10 PM |
| Chris Bassitt | Lucas Giolito | White Sox | 95 | 90 | 122 | 99 | 110 | 106 | 9.0 | 125 | 8:10 PM |
| Carlos Martinez | Brent Suter | Brewers | 105 | 103 | 131 | 96 | 108 | 103 | 9.0 | -120 | 8:10 PM |
| Aaron Sanchez | Tyler Skaggs | Angels | 91 | 96 | 91 | 96 | 102 | 109 | 7.5 | -160 | 10:07 PM |
| Tyson Ross | Madison Bumgarner | Giants | 90 | 97 | 53 | 100 | 74 | 99 | 7.5 | -150 | 10:15 PM |
Pitcher Skills
These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.
The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.
OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.
Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.
| Player | Opp | IP | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | ERA | WHIP | DK | FD | OwRC+ | OsK% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (R) | at CWS | 11.0 | 18.4 | 4.1 | 14.3 | 0.82 | 2.45 | 1.09 | $6,300 | $6,800 | 92 | 25.1 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | v SD | 128.3 | 20.9 | 4.8 | 16.2 | 1.40 | 3.51 | 1.13 | $9,400 | $8,600 | 99 | 25.9 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v NYM | 241.3 | 17.3 | 8.6 | 8.6 | 1.01 | 3.92 | 1.40 | $6,100 | $7,400 | 80 | 25.2 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at WAS | 269.0 | 22.1 | 7.7 | 14.4 | 1.44 | 4.62 | 1.46 | $6,600 | $7,200 | 96 | 20.9 |
| Kyle Gibson (R) | v BOS | 240.7 | 19.5 | 9.3 | 10.3 | 1.20 | 4.45 | 1.41 | $5,900 | $8,200 | 119 | 19.2 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v OAK | 116.7 | 14.5 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.47 | 5.32 | 1.37 | $4,300 | $6,000 | 109 | 22.8 |
| Zack Godley (R) | at PIT | 232.3 | 25.0 | 9.4 | 15.6 | 1.01 | 3.84 | 1.27 | $7,200 | $7,900 | 98 | 18.7 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | v CHC | 155.0 | 16.1 | 9.4 | 6.7 | 1.97 | 6.39 | 1.57 | $4,700 | $5,600 | 107 | 21.0 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at CIN | 223.3 | 20.5 | 6.9 | 13.6 | 1.25 | 3.22 | 1.17 | $7,600 | $7,500 | 101 | 19.7 |
| Chad Kuhl (R) | v ARI | 236.3 | 21.3 | 10.0 | 11.3 | 1.10 | 4.15 | 1.43 | $6,700 | $8,400 | 80 | 23.8 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | at MIL | 267.7 | 24.6 | 9.8 | 14.8 | 0.98 | 3.43 | 1.26 | $8,000 | $7,300 | 101 | 24.2 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at COL | 132.0 | 18.4 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 1.57 | 4.70 | 1.39 | $4,700 | $6,400 | 105 | 21.3 |
| James Paxton (L) | at NYY | 227.7 | 29.4 | 6.8 | 22.6 | 0.75 | 3.20 | 1.09 | $8,300 | $9,800 | 130 | 21.8 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at MIN | 295.7 | 21.2 | 5.4 | 15.8 | 1.40 | 4.35 | 1.32 | $9,400 | $8,800 | 96 | 20.5 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | at SF | 131.0 | 20.3 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 1.03 | 5.08 | 1.44 | $7,800 | $7,400 | 102 | 24.1 |
| Aaron Sanchez (R) | at LAA | 114.7 | 17.3 | 12.3 | 5.0 | 1.10 | 4.32 | 1.56 | $6,400 | $7,700 | 113 | 19.5 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | v BAL | 301.3 | 35.9 | 6.7 | 29.2 | 0.90 | 2.36 | 0.88 | $14,500 | $12,200 | 84 | 24.2 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v SEA | 292.3 | 29.8 | 6.5 | 23.3 | 0.80 | 2.68 | 1.00 | $12,000 | $10,800 | 110 | 20.0 |
| Tyler Skaggs (L) | v TOR | 165.0 | 23.2 | 7.5 | 15.8 | 1.15 | 3.71 | 1.31 | $10,700 | $9,000 | 89 | 21.2 |
| Brent Suter (L) | v STL | 157.0 | 19.1 | 5.8 | 13.4 | 1.15 | 3.84 | 1.25 | $6,500 | $6,800 | 101 | 21.3 |
Pitcher Splits
These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.
Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.
| v. Lefties | v. Righties | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Name | Opp | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA | K% | BB% | K-BB | HR/9 | wOBA |
| Chris Bassitt (R) | at CWS | 18.4 | 8.0 | 10.3 | 0.86 | 0.263 | 16.8 | 9.5 | 7.4 | 2.00 | 0.415 |
| Madison Bumgarner (L) | v SD | 28.8 | 5.3 | 23.5 | 0.67 | 0.226 | 24.3 | 5.5 | 18.7 | 1.28 | 0.294 |
| Kyle Freeland (L) | v NYM | 29.4 | 6.9 | 22.4 | 0.92 | 0.311 | 13.6 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.03 | 0.334 |
| Kevin Gausman (R) | at WAS | 23.0 | 8.4 | 14.6 | 1.21 | 0.317 | 22.1 | 6.2 | 15.9 | 1.60 | 0.352 |
| Kyle Gibson (R) | v BOS | 16.8 | 9.0 | 7.8 | 1.06 | 0.353 | 19.3 | 8.9 | 10.4 | 1.33 | 0.326 |
| Lucas Giolito (R) | v OAK | 12.3 | 13.0 | -0.6 | 1.66 | 0.364 | 15.6 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 1.74 | 0.338 |
| Zack Godley (R) | at PIT | 23.1 | 10.7 | 12.4 | 1.01 | 0.327 | 23.3 | 7.2 | 16.1 | 1.26 | 0.313 |
| Matt Harvey (R) | v CHC | 15.8 | 9.8 | 6.0 | 1.85 | 0.396 | 18.4 | 6.7 | 11.7 | 1.24 | 0.323 |
| Kyle Hendricks (R) | at CIN | 22.4 | 7.9 | 14.5 | 1.09 | 0.289 | 20.9 | 5.3 | 15.5 | 0.93 | 0.267 |
| Chad Kuhl (R) | v ARI | 20.8 | 10.7 | 10.1 | 1.38 | 0.365 | 20.1 | 7.8 | 12.3 | 0.77 | 0.305 |
| Carlos Martinez (R) | at MIL | 20.2 | 11.8 | 8.4 | 1.01 | 0.324 | 26.8 | 6.5 | 20.2 | 0.70 | 0.260 |
| Steven Matz (L) | at COL | 16.6 | 8.1 | 8.5 | 0.45 | 0.307 | 22.2 | 6.6 | 15.6 | 1.50 | 0.325 |
| James Paxton (L) | at NYY | 22.4 | 6.9 | 15.4 | 0.64 | 0.310 | 28.1 | 5.9 | 22.2 | 0.74 | 0.275 |
| Rick Porcello (R) | at MIN | 21.7 | 5.3 | 16.4 | 1.25 | 0.310 | 20.7 | 4.0 | 16.7 | 1.15 | 0.306 |
| Tyson Ross (R) | at SF | 18.1 | 11.2 | 6.9 | 1.10 | 0.358 | 22.4 | 10.9 | 11.6 | 0.89 | 0.305 |
| Aaron Sanchez (R) | at LAA | 20.2 | 12.9 | 7.3 | 0.94 | 0.317 | 18.2 | 6.6 | 11.6 | 0.77 | 0.286 |
| Max Scherzer (R) | v BAL | 27.4 | 8.5 | 18.8 | 1.38 | 0.305 | 41.4 | 4.2 | 37.2 | 0.70 | 0.198 |
| Luis Severino (R) | v SEA | 28.3 | 8.1 | 20.2 | 0.97 | 0.286 | 27.8 | 5.8 | 21.9 | 0.87 | 0.264 |
| Tyler Skaggs (L) | v TOR | 23.4 | 5.5 | 17.9 | 0.65 | 0.280 | 23.1 | 9.0 | 14.0 | 1.25 | 0.336 |
| Brent Suter (L) | v STL | 14.6 | 7.1 | 7.6 | 0.95 | 0.293 | 20.3 | 5.3 | 15.1 | 1.23 | 0.324 |
