Pablo Lopez
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez had an impressive first season in Minnesota by finishing seventh in the AL Cy Young voting and going 2-0 and giving up one run in 12.2 innings in the postseason. Lopez changed his arsenal in the offseason to feature a sweeper as his primary off-speed pitch which resulted in more strikeouts. Lopez had a career-high 29.2% K% and 14.8% swinging K%. He allowed just a .215 wOBA and generated a 36.3% K% on his sweeper. He also set a new high 194 innings while maintaining career-best velocity (94.8 average mph fastball). The Twins signed him to a four-year, $73.54 million contract extension after his trade from Miami as they believe they traded for a true ace and felt validated by his playoff performance. Read Past Outlooks
Working on pitches this spring
Lopez gave up two runs with two walks and three strikeouts over three innings in his second spring outing to raise his Grapefruit League ERA to 7.20. However, Lopez says he's been experimenting with different pitches rather than focusing on results, including throwing a rare 0-2 sinker to a lefty (Matt Olson), the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports. "It didn't work out. He hit it like 600 feet to center," Lopez said.
ANALYSIS
Lopez has already been named Minnesota's Opening Day starter March 28 against Kansas City, so he has no worries about his performance this spring. He's healthy and working on different pitches and looks sharp early in the spring. The right-hander's first season in Minnesota was the best of his career, with Lopez collecting a 3.66 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 234:48 K:BB over 194 innings.
Lopez has already been named Minnesota's Opening Day starter March 28 against Kansas City, so he has no worries about his performance this spring. He's healthy and working on different pitches and looks sharp early in the spring. The right-hander's first season in Minnesota was the best of his career, with Lopez collecting a 3.66 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 234:48 K:BB over 194 innings.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .260 | 176 | 62 | 189 | 25 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .211 | 232 | 39 | 144 | 20 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .271 | 104 | 27 | 101 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .205 | 130 | 21 | 75 | 11 | |||
2022vs Left | .249 | 72 | 35 | 88 | 12 | |||
2022vs Right | .218 | 102 | 18 | 69 | 9 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-30%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.37 | 1.21 | 185.1 | 9.8 | 2.6 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.05 | 1.11 | 188.2 | 9.9 | 2.2 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 4.21 | 1.17 | 98.1 | 11.3 | 2.3 | ||||
2023Away | 3.10 | 1.14 | 95.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | ||||
2022Home | 4.55 | 1.25 | 87.0 | 8.1 | 3.0 | ||||
2022Away | 3.00 | 1.09 | 93.0 | 9.3 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.88K/9
10.9BB/9
2.2HR/9
1.1Fastball
94.8 mphERA
3.66WHIP
1.15BABIP
.327GB/FB
1.40Left On Base
75.1%Exit Velocity
80.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.0%Spin Rate
2272 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
20.9%Swinging Strike
14.8%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Closing in on long-term deal
Lopez and the Twins are close to finalizing a four-year, $73.5 million contract extension, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
The deal would begin in 2024, per Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com, which means it would cover what would have been the first three years of free agency for Lopez. Lopez has posted a 1.73 ERA, 0.81 WHIP and 33:6 K:BB across his first 26 innings with Minnesota.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Pa-Lo answered the health concerns we highlighted last season as he took the ball all 32 times it was given to him and was one of 27 pitchers to throw at least 180 innings on the season. Yet, 2022 was a bit of a disappointment in his outcomes as he won 10 of the 32 starts for the struggling Miami club while his ERA jumped three quarters of a run from the previous season and his strikeout rate fell four percentage points. He was still tough to hit and stingy with baserunners, but his upside was limited by the misfortunes of the Miami offense. Lopez and Kyle Wright were extremely similar from a statistical profile this past season, yet Wright had 21 wins and a 3.19 ERA thanks to 5.3 runs per game while Lopez was supported with just 3.2 runs per outing. There was nothing wrong with the pitcher, rather, the surrounding cast was limiting his true fantasy upside. That could change after he was traded to Minnesota in January. He'll have a better supporting cast though a slightly less friendly park.
More Fantasy News
Named Opening Day starter
Twins manager Rocco Baldelli named Lopez the team's Opening Day starter Wednesday, Lexi Schweinert of Twins Radio reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fires quality start in win
Lopez earned the win in Sunday's 6-2 victory over the Astros in Game 2 of the ALDS, giving up six hits and one walk across seven scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Gets nod for Game 2
Lopez will start Game 2 of the Twins' ALDS matchup against Houston on Sunday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Claims first postseason win
Lopez earned the win in Tuesday's 3-1 victory over the Blue Jays in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series, allowing one run on five hits and two walks across 5.2 innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 1 for Twins
Lopez will start Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series for the Twins, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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