Dylan Cease
28-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Cease finished second in voting for the AL Cy Young in 2022 after he posted a 2.20 ERA in 32 starts, but he stumbled to a 4.58 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 214:79 K:BB over 177 innings last season. Some regression wasn't surprising since the elite campaign had some underwhelming peripherals, but much like the White Sox in general, his fall in 2023 was steeper than anticipated. The underlying numbers flipped in the opposite direction, with a 3.72 FIP indicating he had some poor luck. Cease's strikeout rate dropped over three points to 27.3 percent, though he improved his walk rate slightly to 10.1 percent. A .330 BABIP and 41.5 percent hard-hit rate were both career worsts, the former of which was certainly affected by Chicago's horrid defense (minus-59 DRS). His true self likely falls somewhere in between the results of the past two seasons, making him somewhat of a volatile option for fantasy managers in 2024, though his strikeout floor is strong. Cease has also been regularly mentioned in trade rumors over the past year, and a move elsewhere would likely only improve his immediate outlook. Read Past Outlooks
Heading to Friars
The White Sox traded Cease to the Padres on Wednesday in exchange for Drew Thorpe, Jairo Iriarte, Steven Wilson and Samuel Zavala, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
After recent pushes from the Rangers and Yankees to acquire Cease, the right-hander will ultimately end up in San Diego, giving a much-needed boost to a Padres rotation that lost Blake Snell, Michael Wacha and Seth Lugo during the offseason. Following his brilliant 2022 campaign, Cease took a big step back in 2023 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP across 33 starts, though he still was able to rack up 214 strikeouts in 177 innings. Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove have already been penciled in as the Padres' starters for their season-opening series versus the Dodgers in South Korea next week, but Cease could make his Friars debut when the team return to North America for its first domestic series with the Giants from March 28 through 31.
After recent pushes from the Rangers and Yankees to acquire Cease, the right-hander will ultimately end up in San Diego, giving a much-needed boost to a Padres rotation that lost Blake Snell, Michael Wacha and Seth Lugo during the offseason. Following his brilliant 2022 campaign, Cease took a big step back in 2023 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP across 33 starts, though he still was able to rack up 214 strikeouts in 177 innings. Yu Darvish and Joe Musgrove have already been penciled in as the Padres' starters for their season-opening series versus the Dodgers in South Korea next week, but Cease could make his Friars debut when the team return to North America for its first domestic series with the Giants from March 28 through 31.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .245 | 189 | 74 | 166 | 19 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .196 | 252 | 83 | 132 | 16 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .268 | 91 | 30 | 96 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 123 | 49 | 76 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .219 | 98 | 44 | 70 | 6 | |||
2022vs Right | .163 | 129 | 34 | 56 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-10%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 3.21 | 1.21 | 201.2 | 10.6 | 3.8 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 3.56 | 1.32 | 159.1 | 11.5 | 4.0 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 4.20 | 1.44 | 94.1 | 9.9 | 4.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.01 | 1.39 | 82.2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | ||||
2022Home | 2.35 | 1.02 | 107.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 2.00 | 1.24 | 76.2 | 10.9 | 4.7 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.71K/9
10.9BB/9
4.0HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.6 mphERA
4.58WHIP
1.42BABIP
.349GB/FB
1.07Left On Base
68.2%Exit Velocity
83.3 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2620 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.2%Swinging Strike
13.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Cease See More
Even with a tough matchup against the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park on Opening Day, Spencer Strider takes the top spot in the first Weekly Pitcher Rankings of the year.
Eight job battles have received significant updates this week, including Opening Day decisions on two top prospects and changes to three closer situations.
Injuries and signings have caused plenty of shifts in our rankings over the last two weeks, with Elly De La Cruz jumping up six spots due to teammates missing time.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could be dealt before Opening Day
Cease is seen as a candidate to be traded prior to Opening Day, a source tells Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
The White Sox are coming off a 61-101 campaign and are likely bracing for another non-contending season in 2024, so the 28-year-old Cease -- who is under club control through 2025 -- could be an attractive trade chip. The White Sox have reportedly already engaged in trade conversations with the Rangers and Yankees this spring, both of whom have needs for a top-of-rotation arm while Texas' Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom and New York's Gerrit Cole recover from injuries. The Padres have also been in discussions about Cease, and while San Diego doesn't have any major injuries to its rotation, Blake Snell's departure in free agency following a Cy Young-winning season still leaves a major void.
The White Sox are coming off a 61-101 campaign and are likely bracing for another non-contending season in 2024, so the 28-year-old Cease -- who is under club control through 2025 -- could be an attractive trade chip. The White Sox have reportedly already engaged in trade conversations with the Rangers and Yankees this spring, both of whom have needs for a top-of-rotation arm while Texas' Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom and New York's Gerrit Cole recover from injuries. The Padres have also been in discussions about Cease, and while San Diego doesn't have any major injuries to its rotation, Blake Snell's departure in free agency following a Cy Young-winning season still leaves a major void.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Cease followed up 2021's breakthrough campaign with an even better season, finishing a distant second to Justin Verlander in the AL Cy Young voting. Cease started 32 games for the second straight season, finishing with a career-high 184 innings. It wasn't by much, but Cease's K% ticked down while his BB% inched up. A .260 BABIP and 82.3% LOB mark resulted in a 2.20 ERA, over a run below the associated 3.50 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA. Cease is being drafted ahead of starters with similar or better skills, but with a longer track record. If he can lower his 10% walk rate, Cease could be one of the best pitchers in the league. There is a pathway as Cease uses his fastball 47% of the time but throws it for a strike at a low 62% rate. Cease is a prime example of how pitchers can be both lucky and good. Dreaming of a lower walk rate is tempting, but the regression monster is looming with nightmare intentions.
More Fantasy News
Trade interest from Texas
The Rangers and White Sox have engaged in trade discussions regarding Cease, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in second spring outing
Cease allowed one earned run on two hits while striking out five and walking none across three innings in Thursday's Cactus League game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Opening Day
Cease was named the White Sox's Opening Day starter on Thursday, Vinnie Duber of AllCHGO.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids arbitration with CWS
Cease signed a one-year, $8 million contract with the White Sox on Thursday to avoid arbitration, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one run in tough-luck loss
Cease (7-9) took the loss Friday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over five innings against the Padres. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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