Paul Blackburn

Paul Blackburn

30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Fingernail and blister issues delayed Blackburn's debut until May 29, but he still ended up passing the century mark in innings for the second straight season. Oakland's lone representative in the 2022 All-Star Game, Blackburn failed to replicate those results in 2023. His WHIP shot up from 1.26 to 1.54 as opponents hit 25 points higher against the right-hander. Blackburn lifted his strikeout rate over 20 percent for the first time in his career, but the jump in strikeouts came with a jump in walks, making it a wash. He's going to be pitching again for one of the worst teams in baseball, and the skills haven't been good enough to compensate throughout most of his career. Now entering his age-30 season, Blackburn could potentially benefit from some tweaks to his pitch mix, though that's merely theoretical. He has to be considered a health and performance risk on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#564
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.45 million contract with the Athletics in January of 2024.
Improves to 2-0
POakland Athletics
April 18, 2024
Blackburn (2-0) allowed three runs on six hits and five walks over 5.2 innings in a win over the Cardinals on Wednesday. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
Blackburn struggled with his command out of the gate, surrendering a leadoff single to open the game before walking two batters in the first inning. He then went 1-2-3 through the next two innings, even striking out the side in the second, but was tagged for three runs in the fourth after allowing three consecutive hits to begin the frame. The right-hander had not allowed a run through his first three starts coming into Wednesday's matchup, while it also marked the first time this season in which he failed to make it through at least six innings. Blackburn also recorded a season-high seven strikeouts in the win and currently holds a 1.08 ERA on the season, though he's now issued seven walks over his last two starts.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Paul Blackburn generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Paul Blackburn generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-40%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .260 514 111 40 121 35 2 11
Since 2022vs Right .266 514 100 41 123 22 3 15
2024vs Left .151 56 12 3 8 2 0 0
2024vs Right .250 41 6 5 9 2 0 0
2023vs Left .289 217 50 21 55 12 2 4
2023vs Right .283 247 54 22 62 10 1 7
2022vs Left .260 241 49 16 58 21 0 7
2022vs Right .250 226 40 14 52 10 2 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-74%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.86 1.40 111.0 4 8 0 8.4 3.2 1.1
Since 2022Away 3.28 1.32 129.0 9 5 0 7.5 2.9 0.9
2024Home 1.42 1.16 19.0 1 0 0 6.6 3.8 0.0
2024Away 0.00 0.50 6.0 1 0 0 6.0 0.0 0.0
2023Home 3.57 1.32 53.0 2 3 0 9.2 3.6 0.7
2023Away 5.33 1.78 50.2 2 4 0 8.9 3.9 1.2
2022Home 8.31 1.62 39.0 1 5 0 8.1 2.3 2.1
2022Away 2.12 1.06 72.1 6 1 0 6.7 2.5 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Paul Blackburn compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.25
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
91.8 mph
 
ERA
1.08
 
WHIP
1.00
 
BABIP
.245
 
GB/FB
2.60
 
Left On Base
88.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Top season start in Oakland history
POakland Athletics
April 18, 2024
Blackburn's scoreless innings streak to begin the season ended at 22.1 frames Wednesday against the Cardinals, which is a record for the franchise while in Oakland, according to Martin Gallegos of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
It's the second longest streak to begin the season in franchise history overall, trailing only Harry Krause's 23-inning run to begin 1910 for the Philadelphia A's. Blackburn was unimpressive last season with a 4.43 ERA and 1.54 WHIP over 103.2 innings, but he's been electric through four starts in 2024 with just three runs allowed and a 1.00 WHIP across 25 innings. The 30-year-old already has two wins, bringing him halfway to his total from last year.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2019
2018
2017
Blackburn appeared to be finally turning a corner in his career until fate literally gave him a middle finger. Blackburn was 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP through his first 13 starts of 2022 until he began experiencing some middle finger discomfort. He attempted to pitch through it making 8 more starts, but went 1-4 with a 7.94 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP in those final outings before shutting it down for the season and requiring surgery to repair the tear of his flexor tendon sheath in his right middle finger. Blackburn isn't blessed with much velocity or spin, but throws six different pitch types to keep hitters off balance and guessing which of the sextet is coming next. Oakland will give him all the volume he can handle as he is in the first season of arbitration and turns 30 during the season. The volume is what could get him to double-digit wins as the run support is unlikely to do so. He is worthy of a late round selection to see if the repertoire adjustments he made in 2022 can stick and help him pick up where he left off in mid-June.
A strained right forearm kept Blackburn out until June, and he made just six starts for Oakland before elbow tendinitis shut him down in early July. His ERA came in nearly four runs higher than in his 10-start rookie campaign, sitting at an ugly 7.16, but the underlying numbers told a different story. His strikeout rate nearly doubled, though it still sat at an unimpressive 16.0%, and he walked just 5.0% of opposing batters. His control and groundball profile led to a very respectable 3.59 FIP, with an extremely low 47.1% strand rate appearing to be the primary culprit for his inflated ERA. Blackburn's sample size was too small to conclusively say that he's really improved, however, and he enters the 2018 season with injury questions and a low ceiling due to his lack of whiffs. He'll be battling for a back-end rotation spot at best on a team that's shown a willingness to use bullpen days rather than trust shaky starters.
An extreme groundball pitcher in Oakland is almost always going to be worth a second look in deep settings. The problem with Blackburn is that he lacks the swing-and-miss stuff to be a real difference maker. As a 24-year-old last season, Blackburn posted a 3.22 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over 58.2 innings despite just a 9.2 strikeout percentage (3.4 K/9). He did a good job of limiting the free passes (2.5 K/9) and keeping the ball on the ground (56.3 percent groundball rate), but even so, the estimators point to Blackburn being at least a run worse than his surface numbers would suggest (4.38 FIP, 4.76 xFIP, 5.15 SIERA). Blackburn missed the end of the season with a bone bruise in his wrist and hasn't thrown more than 142 combined innings in any season. Making matters worse, he's not guaranteed a starting job out of camp, even on a team like the A's.
After working his way up to the Cubs' Double-A affiliate, Blackburn was traded to the Mariners as part of the package for Mike Montgomery. The big knock on Blackburn is his inability to miss bats, as he registered just a 6.2 K/9 in 2016 (which is identical to his career mark). However, he's made up for the lack of swing and miss to a large extent by posting consistently low walk rates and keeping the ball on the ground. At the end of the 2016 season, the Mariners traded Blackburn to the A's for Danny Valencia and subsequently added him to their 40-man roster, protecting him from the Rule 5 draft. Although the Bay Area native has only seen Double-A action so far, his control may be earn him a call up to the big leagues if the A's notorious starting pitching struggles continue.
More Fantasy News
Continues scoreless streak
POakland Athletics
April 12, 2024
Blackburn did not factor into the decision Friday against the Nationals, pitching 6.1 scoreless innings while allowing five hits and two walks. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Dazzles again Saturday
POakland Athletics
April 6, 2024
Blackburn (1-0) picked up the win Saturday against the Tigers, scattering three hits over six scoreless innings in a 4-0 victory. He struck out four without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Spins gem in 2024 debut
POakland Athletics
March 31, 2024
Blackburn didn't factor into the decision Sunday versus the Guardians, throwing seven scoreless innings on three hits and a walk. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Elite in final Cactus League start
POakland Athletics
March 21, 2024
Blackburn fired six no-hit innings against the Cubs in a Cactus League win Wednesday, allowing one walk and recording three strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Impressive in spring debut
POakland Athletics
February 28, 2024
Blackburn (1-0) was credited with the victory in the Athletics' Cactus League win over the Giants on Wednesday, allowing an earned run on a solo home run and recording three strikeouts over two innings.
ANALYSIS
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